
Scottie Scheffler has played down his status as overwhelming favourite for US Open victory, but will the world No 1 enjoy more major success or can someone stop him at Oakmont?Scottie Scheffler enters the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club as the overwhelming favorite, drawing comparisons to Tiger Woods during his prime. Since winning the Masters in 2022, Scheffler has amassed an impressive record, including three wins in the past 40 days, and top finishes in majors such as two victories, two runner-ups, and multiple top-fives. His consistent excellence and mental focus have positioned him as a dominant figure in professional golf. At Oakmont, Scheffler is a +275 favorite, reflecting a 26.7% implied probability of winning—a rare occurrence in golf betting, where unpredictability is high. This surge in confidence is supported by Scheffler’s recent form; he has won three of his last four events, including the 2025 PGA Championship, and claimed 10 wins out of 31 tournaments over two years. He has maintained strong performance in majors, with two wins in six starts since 2024. Despite the tough competition and course at Oakmont, bettors are heavily backing Scheffler, with 17.8% of bets and 31.3% of the money at BetMGM placed on him. While seasoned bettors may question the logic of such odds for a golf tournament, Scheffler’s consistent dominance and appeal have made him a popular and seemingly justifiable pick, much like Woods during his prime. Oakmont’s challenging layout underscores the demanding nature of this major, where superior accuracy, patience, and mental toughness are essential. Competitors like Jon Rah